(The Root) — Like most Americans, you may have noticed the price of chicken has risen by nearly a quarter over the past year. Fresh vegetables and produce are increasingly more expensive. Feeding the average family of four is taking a toll on the poor, low-income and middle-class alike. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that U.S. inflation is relatively low (pdf) — averaging 2 percent since the recession. But the overall numbers belie a hidden truth — that food price inflation is expected to rise 3 to 4 percent this year alone, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.
Overall inflation remains low mostly because of the Federal Reserve's decision to suppress interest rates — allowing banks to borrow money at near zero. The theory behind this rationale, of course, is to offer cheap capital to cash-strapped consumers, those seeking to enter the housing markets and businesses looking to invest. But following the TARP program and corporate bailouts of 2008 and 2009, banks didn't lend. Unemployment skyrocketed, and wages continued a 40-year trend of decreasing. In fact, researchers at the Brookings Institute found that real earnings of working-age men (25-64) have declined 19 percent since 1970.
Furthermore, the "core inflation rate" of 2 percent, measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), is a misleading figure, because it is often reported excluding volatile measures like food, gas and oil prices.
Much has been written about the disproportionate effect the recession has had on the African-American community — with crippling levels of unemployment — but less attention is being paid to the empirical realities that such statistical analysis represents; in short, when people can't work, they often don't eat.
Although correlated, poverty and food insecurity are not the same. Unemployment is the strongest predictor of food insecurity — and as minority communities struggle the most in finding work, they also disproportionately become victims of hunger. The USDA defines "food insecurity" as struggling to put food on the table and often not knowing where your next meal will come from. According to Feeding America, 25.1 percent of African-American households and 26.2 of Hispanic families were food insecure in 2011. African-American households with children were affected the most — at 29.2 percent, compared to 20.6 percent of other U.S. households with kids. Single mothers were the most vulnerable, at a rate of 36.8 percent of their households experiencing food insecurity.
So what's actually causing food price inflation? The answer is not so simple.
The effects of the Midwest drought in 2012 have become undeniably apparent in the early months of 2013. The drought — which some experts claim will worsen with climate change — has meant that prices for corn, soybeans and other grains rose sharply.
But the truth is that grocery prices have been rising 2 to 3 percent each year between 1990 and 2011. The U.S. government's subsidy of corn production for use in biofuels is one reason. This reduces the corn supply and subsequently raises prices. Higher oil prices are also a factor, as transporting food across the country becomes more expensive with higher gasoline prices. Political instability throughout North Africa and the Middle East has also taken its toll. And increasing affluence in emerging market nations has a measurable effect: As the middle classes grow, people eat more meat — grains (for animal feed) increase in value as demand increases. The problem, therefore, is circular and compounded — meaning the drought has simply made an already tenuous situation worse.
As a political matter, neither Republicans nor Democrats have shed much light on the crisis of rising food costs and food insecurity. The conversation has often been muted by broader debates about widening income inequality, a point that President Barack Obama, to his credit, and progressive leaders highlighted during the 2012 election campaign. But as Rep. Paul Ryan's recent budget proposal reveals, Republicans are scarcely concerned about inequality or food insecurity. Ryan curiously protects the wealthiest and corporations from increased tax liabilities — while achieving a dubiously "balanced budget" by cutting social-safety programs like food stamps.
What is most disturbing for House Speaker John Boehner and other GOP leaders is the fact that six out of the seven states that exhibited the most statistically high food insecurity rates between 2009 and 2011 were red states — Mississippi, Texas, Arkansas, Alabama and Georgia. The Tar Heel State of North Carolina (also among the six) voted narrowly for Mitt Romney, while Florida awarded its 29 delegates to the president. Each of these states represent local economies heavily dependent on agriculture revenues.
Nonetheless, the sequestration cuts and deeper proposed cuts to discretionary spending stand to threaten U.S. food security and rising food costs.
One Republican senator, John Hoeven of North Dakota, hasn't been afraid to address the issue. In an op-ed last year for the Hill, Hoeven argued the benefits of passing the Farm Bill — a measure that became a casualty of the GOP obstinacy that has persisted throughout Obama's presidency. Hoeven wrote, "Food security is not a regional or a partisan issue." He went on to address the effects of climate violatity, writing, "If you do not have a crop to harvest, high prices do not do you any good — almost a quarter of the acres in my state this year could not be planted due to weather."
It is this sensible approach to discussing the issue of food insecurity in America and the myriad and complicated reasons for higher food prices that is necessary. Only then can the underlying issues of racial disparities in poverty and income equality be fleshed out in such a way that informs, educates and ultimately resolves. Until that time, far too many children and families — black, brown and white alike — will go hungry in the world's richest, most prosperous democracy.
Edward Wyckoff Williams is contributing editor at The Root. He is a columnist and political analyst, appearing on AlJazeera, MSNBC, ABC, CBS Washington and national syndicated radio. Follow him on Twitter and on Facebook.
Edward Wyckoff Williams is a contributing editor at The Root. He is a columnist and political analyst, appearing on Al-Jazeera, MSNBC, ABC, CBS Washington and national syndicated radio. Follow him on Twitter and on Facebook.