These Polls Ain’t Loyal: Why the Generic Congressional Ballot Is the Worst Predictor in American Politics

Nothing amuses me more as a political scientist than people who just don’t trust polls. The skepticism is usually brought on by incredulity about some type of polling analysis—“There’s no way black districts voted more Republican in 2016 than in 2012”—which is usually followed by some nonscientific justification for…

I’m De Captain Now! Republicans Hold 9,000,000 Kids Hostage With Likely Government Shutdown

Saturday is the one-year anniversary of President Donald Trump’s inauguration, and you must admit that he’s managed a pretty radical transformation of America. He’s turned his White House into the location of a horrible reality show. He’s turned Twitter into a weapon of mass destruction. He’s made the United States…

As Democrats Keep Chasing Trump Voter Waterfalls, Will They Ever Listen to Their Actual Base: Black People?

Will Democrats ever actually listen to black people in terms of strategy and vote targeting? Can a political party toss over $1 billion into the trash two election cycles in a row? Does it really take a genius to figure out that if a group votes for you 90 percent of the time, you should do what it takes to make sure…

Bernie, Fix My Party: Why Are Democrats Treating Bernie Sanders as if He’s Their Iyanla Vanzant?

Why in the hell are Democrats still accepting lectures from Bernie Sanders? Although the Vermont senator deserves credit for certain accomplishments—pulling younger people into the political process and pushing the Democratic Party in a more progressive direction—it’s not as if the man had that great a shot at…