Republicans Facing Longer Odds for Senate Control

Several races should make the GOP nervous as the election approaches, Juan Williams writes at the Hill. 

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Several races should make the GOP nervous as the election approaches, Juan Williams writes at the Hill.

As the old Negro League pitcher Satchel Paige once told reporters after his team faded in September and lost the pennant: "The future isn't what it used to be."

What’s true in baseball is also true in politics.

At the start of this political cycle, basic math favored Republicans claiming the Senate majority in November and joining the Republican House majority to turn all of Capitol Hill into GOP territory.

Back then, the math showed 33 seats being contested -- with Democrats defending 23 of those seats. Republicans only had to protect 10 incumbents. The odds indicated the GOP was likely to win the four seats they need to become the majority of the Senate.

But with a month to go before the election, that math is upside down.

The new math in the Senate indicates that Democrats and Republicans basically have an even shot at winning the majority.

The GOP advantage began to disappear when Sen. Olympia Snowe (R-Maine) decided there was no place for a centrist in today’s Republican Party.

That once-sure Republican seat is now up for grabs, with an Independent, former Gov. Angus King, holding the lead.

Read Juan Williams' entire piece at the Hill.

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