Obama Would Win Election Today

An analysis by the Associated Press gives the president a steady lead. With 36, days to go, does it matter?

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Mark Wilson/Getty Images News

According to an analysis by the Associated Press, if the election were held today, President Obama would win at least 271 electoral votes, with likely victories in Ohio, Iowa, 19 other states and the District of Columbia, while Mitt Romney would win 23 states for a total of only 206 votes.

It's pretty big news, except, of course, unless you count early voting in some states, the election isn't today. It's 36 days from now, and on each of those days, any number of things could happen to change the landscape of the race. If you ask New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, for example, Romney's campaign is going to have a brand-new start after the first debate.

We'll see about that. But one thing just about everyone can agree on is this: The only analysis that really matters is the one based on the views of those who actually show up and casts ballots on Election Day.

Five weeks to Election Day, President Barack Obama is within reach of the 270 electoral votes needed to win a second term. Republican Mitt Romney's path to victory is narrowing.

To overtake Obama, Romney would need to quickly gain the upper hand in nearly all of the nine states where he and Obama are competing the hardest.

Polls show the president with a steady lead in many of them as Romney looks to shift the dynamics of the race, starting with their first debate Wednesday in Denver.

"We'd rather be us than them," says Jennifer Psaki, an Obama spokeswoman.

But Romney's running mate Paul Ryan says there's time for the GOP ticket to win. "In these kinds of races people focus near the end, and that's what's happening now," he told "Fox News Sunday."…

To oust the Democratic incumbent, Romney would need to take up-for-grabs Florida, Colorado, Nevada, North Carolina, New Hampshire and Virginia, which would put him at 267 votes, and upend Obama in either Ohio or Iowa.

Read more at the Huffington Post.